Post by repole on Dec 29, 2005 18:36:15 GMT -5
I use a few formulas to calculate these power rankings, so to understand the rankings and how they work you'll need to review the following terms:
Point-Wins: Projects the number of wins a team should have according to the points it scores and the points it allows. For instance, a team who scores as much as it allows would have 41 P-Wins.
True-Wins: Projects the number of wins a team should have according to their home win percentage and away win percentage. A team who wins 75% of their home games, but only wins 25% of their away games should win 41 games that year.
Repole-Wins: Projects the number of wins a team should have based on P-Wins and T-Wins. A team with 43 P-Wins and 39 T-Wins has 41 R-Wins. Essentially it takes into account the advantage of homecourt, while also taking into account how much a team has outscored it's opponents that year. The best of both worlds
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Here are rankings based on R-Wins, with the team's projected win total based on R-Wins for this season next to the team name.
1 Utah 61
2 Indiana 60
3 Washington 58
4 Lakers 54
5 Detroit 54
6 Miami 53
7 Phoenix 53
8 Philadelphia 50
9 Sacramento 48
10 Golden State 48
11 New Jersey 46
12 New Orleans 45
13 Cleveland 45
14 Clippers 44
15 Portland 42
16 Boston 41
17 Seattle 41
18 Chicago 40
19 Atlanta 39
20 New York 35
21 Denver 34
22 Minnesota 33
23 Houston 32
24 Milwaukee 31
25 Dallas 30
26 Orlando 26
27 Toronto 26
28 San Antonio 18
29 Memphis 11
Overachievers:
San Antonio: +8
Memphis: +6
Denver: +6
This is the difference between P-Wins and T-Wins. A team which has more T-Wins than P-Wins means it is overachieving based on it's point differential and current record. Right now the Spurs are on pace to win 8 more games then they should.
Underachievers:
Miami: -10
Sacramento: -9
Milwaukee: -8
Just like overachievers, cept a negative difference. These teams should pick things up, but being an underachiever means they're probably losing a lot of close games. Miami is on pace to lose 10 more games then they should. For shame...
Point-Wins: Projects the number of wins a team should have according to the points it scores and the points it allows. For instance, a team who scores as much as it allows would have 41 P-Wins.
True-Wins: Projects the number of wins a team should have according to their home win percentage and away win percentage. A team who wins 75% of their home games, but only wins 25% of their away games should win 41 games that year.
Repole-Wins: Projects the number of wins a team should have based on P-Wins and T-Wins. A team with 43 P-Wins and 39 T-Wins has 41 R-Wins. Essentially it takes into account the advantage of homecourt, while also taking into account how much a team has outscored it's opponents that year. The best of both worlds
.Here are rankings based on R-Wins, with the team's projected win total based on R-Wins for this season next to the team name.
1 Utah 61
2 Indiana 60
3 Washington 58
4 Lakers 54
5 Detroit 54
6 Miami 53
7 Phoenix 53
8 Philadelphia 50
9 Sacramento 48
10 Golden State 48
11 New Jersey 46
12 New Orleans 45
13 Cleveland 45
14 Clippers 44
15 Portland 42
16 Boston 41
17 Seattle 41
18 Chicago 40
19 Atlanta 39
20 New York 35
21 Denver 34
22 Minnesota 33
23 Houston 32
24 Milwaukee 31
25 Dallas 30
26 Orlando 26
27 Toronto 26
28 San Antonio 18
29 Memphis 11
Overachievers:
San Antonio: +8
Memphis: +6
Denver: +6
This is the difference between P-Wins and T-Wins. A team which has more T-Wins than P-Wins means it is overachieving based on it's point differential and current record. Right now the Spurs are on pace to win 8 more games then they should.
Underachievers:
Miami: -10
Sacramento: -9
Milwaukee: -8
Just like overachievers, cept a negative difference. These teams should pick things up, but being an underachiever means they're probably losing a lot of close games. Miami is on pace to lose 10 more games then they should. For shame...
